Carlston Harris vs Jeremiah Wells
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record14-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
76"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamRenzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Jeremiah Wells is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Carlston Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1707
If they lose-15→ 1675
If they win+15→ 1735
If they lose-17→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisJeremiah Wells
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeremiah Wells73%
Carlston Harris 27%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremiah Wells a 73% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Jeremiah Wells holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1690, a 30-point edge.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Jeremiah Wells 71%.
Carlston Harris carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.