Carlston Harris vs Khaos Williams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record16-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamMurcielago MMA
What's at stake
Khaos Williams is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Carlston Harris carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1670
If they win+14→ 1734
If they lose-18→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisKhaos Williams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Khaos Williams66%
Carlston Harris 34%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Khaos Williams a 66% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Khaos Williams holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1684, a 36-point edge.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Khaos Williams 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.