Carlston Harris vs Luan Chagas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record15-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlston HarrisLuan Chagas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Chagas56%
Carlston Harris 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Chagas a 56% favorite over Carlston Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1692), separated by just 2 points.
Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Luan Chagas 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.