Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlston Harris vs Sultan Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record15-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
76"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renovacao Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlston HarrisNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674
Sultan AlievNow 1690
If they win+16→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1674

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1679 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.79
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
54%
Strike defense
57%
1.46
Takedown avg.
1.76
23%
Takedown accuracy
38%
56%
Takedown defense
100%
0.59
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlston HarrisSultan Aliev
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
10 (67%)
6 (32%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (42%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlston Harris63%
Sultan Aliev 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlston Harris a 63% favorite over Sultan Aliev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1690 vs 1690), separated by just 0 points.

Carlston Harris enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlston Harris finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Sultan Aliev 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.