Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Christos Giagos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record20-12-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,0"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+17→ 1616
If they lose-15→ 1584
Christos GiagosNow 1611
If they win+12→ 1623
If they lose-12→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
50%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
2.84
0%
Takedown accuracy
37%
59%
Takedown defense
52%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Carlton MinusChristos Giagos
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (20%)
3 (21%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Christos Giagos52%
Carlton Minus 48%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Christos Giagos a 52% favorite over Carlton Minus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1611), separated by just 12 points.

Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Christos Giagos 60%.

Carlton Minus carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.