Carlton Minus vs Clay Guida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record38-25-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
75,0"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamTeam Alpha Male
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carlton MinusClay Guida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlton Minus66%
Clay Guida 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 66% favorite over Clay Guida in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.
Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Clay Guida 57%.
Carlton Minus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.