Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Damir Hadžović

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'11"
75,0"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.36
40%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
50%
Strike defense
63%
0
Takedown avg.
0.78
0%
Takedown accuracy
56%
59%
Takedown defense
35%
0
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Carlton MinusDamir Hadžović
16001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (21%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlton Minus60%
Damir Hadžović 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 60% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damir Hadžović's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Damir Hadžović 71%.

Carlton Minus and Damir Hadžović share 1 common opponent: Christos Giagos.

Carlton Minus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Christos Giagos
LossDEC · 2019