Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Enrique Marin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,0"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamSutemi MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Enrique MarinNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
40%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
50%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
2.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
59%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Carlton MinusEnrique Marin
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (21%)
1 (7%)
Submission
5 (36%)
3 (21%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlton Minus52%
Enrique Marin 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 52% favorite over Enrique Marin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Enrique Marin 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.