Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Gleristone Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record35-12-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
75,0"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Gleristone SantosNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
4.69
40%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.77
50%
Strike defense
48%
0
Takedown avg.
3.44
0%
Takedown accuracy
53%
59%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Carlton MinusGleristone Santos
16001650202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
14 (40%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (17%)
3 (21%)
Decision
15 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlton Minus60%
Gleristone Santos 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 60% favorite over Gleristone Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gleristone Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1599), separated by just 1 points.

Gleristone Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Gleristone Santos 57%.

Carlton Minus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.