Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Luigi Vendramini

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record9-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Luigi VendraminiNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.82
40%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
50%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
1.11
0%
Takedown accuracy
15%
59%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0.56

Trajectory

Carlton MinusLuigi Vendramini
160016502019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
1 (7%)
Submission
4 (44%)
3 (21%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Luigi Vendramini66%
Carlton Minus 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luigi Vendramini a 66% favorite over Carlton Minus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.

Luigi Vendramini enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Luigi Vendramini 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.