Carlton Minus vs Mateusz Makarowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record14-7-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamWCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carlton MinusMateusz Makarowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carlton Minus61%
Mateusz Makarowski 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 61% favorite over Mateusz Makarowski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1600), separated by just 0 points.
Mateusz Makarowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Makarowski 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.