Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Oscar Ownsworth

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record10-5-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75,0"Reach-
170 lbsWeight150 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Oscar OwnsworthNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carlton MinusOscar Ownsworth
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
1 (7%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (21%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Oscar Ownsworth76%
Carlton Minus 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Oscar Ownsworth a 76% favorite over Carlton Minus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carlton Minus's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Oscar Ownsworth enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Oscar Ownsworth 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.