Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Thomas Gifford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record17-10-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'1"
75,0"Reach43,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamSheridan Boxing Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1599
If they win+16→ 1615
If they lose-16→ 1583
Thomas GiffordNow 1599
If they win+12→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
3.97
40%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.45
50%
Strike defense
37%
0
Takedown avg.
0.50
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlton MinusThomas Gifford
1600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
1 (7%)
Submission
13 (76%)
3 (21%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Carlton Minus57%
Thomas Gifford 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Carlton Minus a 57% favorite over Thomas Gifford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1599 vs 1599), separated by just 0 points.

Thomas Gifford enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Gifford 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.