Combat Edge Intelligence

Carlton Minus vs Victor Martinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record13-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,0"Reach70,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Avalanche Wrestling AssociationTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carlton MinusNow 1598
If they win+16→ 1614
If they lose-16→ 1582
Victor MartinezNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
7.94
40%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.66
50%
Strike defense
54%
0
Takedown avg.
0.70
0%
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carlton MinusVictor Martinez
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
1 (7%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (21%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carlton Minus and Victor Martinez within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1597), separated by just 1 points.

Victor Martinez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Carlton Minus finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Victor Martinez 62%.

Carlton Minus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.