Carmelo Marrero vs Cheick Kongo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record31-12-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
TBDReachTBD
255 lbsWeight242 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKongo Smashin' Club
What's at stake
Cheick Kongo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Carmelo Marrero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1670
If they lose-12→ 1638
If they win+9→ 1759
If they lose-15→ 1735
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carmelo MarreroCheick Kongo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cheick Kongo63%
Carmelo Marrero 37%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Cheick Kongo a 63% favorite over Carmelo Marrero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Cheick Kongo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1650, a 100-point edge.
Carmelo Marrero enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carmelo Marrero finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Cheick Kongo 61%.
Carmelo Marrero and Cheick Kongo share 1 common opponent: Ryan Bader.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.