Combat Edge Intelligence

Carmelo Marrero vs Klidson Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-6-0Record16-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach74,0"
255 lbsWeight258 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBrazilian TKO· 1650 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carmelo MarreroNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Klidson AbreuNow 1648
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.84
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
34%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
54%
Strike defense
56%
3.21
Takedown avg.
0.64
37%
Takedown accuracy
20%
36%
Takedown defense
80%
0.87
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Carmelo MarreroKlidson Abreu
16502012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
7 (44%)
Submission
10 (63%)
6 (38%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Carmelo Marrero and Klidson Abreu within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.

Carmelo Marrero enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carmelo Marrero finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Klidson Abreu 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.