Carmelo Marrero vs Styve Ngono
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record8-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach90"
255 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTripl3 MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carmelo MarreroStyve Ngono
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Styve Ngono63%
Carmelo Marrero 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Styve Ngono a 63% favorite over Carmelo Marrero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Carmelo Marrero enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Styve Ngono enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Carmelo Marrero finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Styve Ngono 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.