Carmelo Marrero vs Vladimir Vasilyev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record14-5-1
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
255 lbsWeight187 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSport Club First Line
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Carmelo MarreroVladimir Vasilyev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Vladimir Vasilyev67%
Carmelo Marrero 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vladimir Vasilyev a 67% favorite over Carmelo Marrero in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Carmelo Marrero's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1648), separated by just 2 points.
Carmelo Marrero enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Carmelo Marrero finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Vasilyev 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.