Combat Edge Intelligence

Carol Araujo vs Mia Grawe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mia Grawe
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Mia Grawe

“Raw”

3-1-0FlyweightPFL

1547Average

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record3-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-Reach65"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carol AraujoNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Mia GraweNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carol AraujoMia Grawe
1500155020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
3 (60%)
Decision
1 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Carol Araujo53%
Mia Grawe 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Carol Araujo a 53% favorite over Mia Grawe in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1547), separated by just 6 points.

Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Mia Grawe 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.