Combat Edge Intelligence

Carol Araujo vs Ramana Toscanelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Super Herois Artes MarciaisTeamBonfim Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Carol AraujoNow 1553
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Ramana ToscanelliNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carol AraujoRamana Toscanelli
15001550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (80%)
3 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Carol Araujo72%
Ramana Toscanelli 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Carol Araujo a 72% favorite over Ramana Toscanelli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ramana Toscanelli's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1559), separated by just 6 points.

Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ramana Toscanelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Ramana Toscanelli 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.