Carol Araujo vs Sarah Alpar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-3-0Record9-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Super Herois Artes MarciaisTeamAmerican Elite MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carol AraujoSarah Alpar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carol Araujo66%
Sarah Alpar 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Carol Araujo a 66% favorite over Sarah Alpar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sarah Alpar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1555), separated by just 2 points.
Carol Araujo enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sarah Alpar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carol Araujo finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Alpar 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.