Carol Foro vs Joanna Jędrzejczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record16-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'6"
61"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
RPlay ThaiTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
If they win+16→ 1702
If they lose-16→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Carol ForoJoanna Jędrzejczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Carol Foro57%
Joanna Jędrzejczyk 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Carol Foro a 57% favorite over Joanna Jędrzejczyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joanna Jędrzejczyk's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1686), separated by just 7 points.
Carol Foro enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Carol Foro finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Joanna Jędrzejczyk 31%.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.