Caros Fodor vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
AMC PankrationTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
Caros Fodor is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sam Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1624
If they lose-17→ 1592
If they win+13→ 1606
If they lose-11→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Caros FodorSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Stout61%
Caros Fodor 39%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Stout a 61% favorite over Caros Fodor in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Caros Fodor's way (48%).
Caros Fodor holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1593, a 16-point edge.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Caros Fodor finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.