Combat Edge Intelligence

Carter Williams vs Sascha Weinpolter

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
256 lbsWeight240 lbs
Fairtex GymTeamIron Fist Gym

What's at stake

Sascha Weinpolter is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Carter Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Carter WilliamsNow 1465
If they win+27→ 1492
If they lose-21→ 1444
Sascha WeinpolterNow 1509
If they win+21→ 1530
If they lose-27→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
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Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Carter WilliamsSascha Weinpolter
145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
1 (25%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Sascha Weinpolter75%
Carter Williams 25%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 75% favorite over Carter Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Sascha Weinpolter holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1465, a 44-point edge.

Carter Williams finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.