Casey Kenney vs Dominick Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-1Record24-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamAlliance MMA
What's at stake
Dominick Cruz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Casey Kenney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1744
If they lose-13→ 1712
If they win+10→ 1798
If they lose-14→ 1774
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Casey KenneyDominick Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dominick Cruz58%
Casey Kenney 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Dominick Cruz a 58% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Dominick Cruz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1725, a 63-point edge.
Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Dominick Cruz 33%.
Casey Kenney carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.