Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Kenney vs Manny Bermudez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Manny Bermudez
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Manny Bermudez

“The Bermudez Triangle”

15-2-0FeatherweightNEF

1718Good

Tale of the tape

16-4-1Record15-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey KenneyNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Manny BermudezNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.85
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
43%
Strike accuracy
61%
4.67
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
58%
Strike defense
47%
1.09
Takedown avg.
3.06
36%
Takedown accuracy
55%
61%
Takedown defense
0%
0.43
Submission avg.
3.06

Trajectory

Casey KenneyManny Bermudez
170017502018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
5 (31%)
Submission
12 (80%)
9 (56%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Bermudez53%
Casey Kenney 47%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Bermudez a 53% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Casey Kenney's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1718), separated by just 7 points.

Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Manny Bermudez 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.