Casey Kenney vs Yadong Song
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-1Record24-9-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Rise Combat SportsTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Yadong Song is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Casey Kenney carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1743
If they lose-14→ 1711
If they win+10→ 1782
If they lose-14→ 1758
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey KenneyYadong Song
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yadong Song72%
Casey Kenney 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Yadong Song a 72% favorite over Casey Kenney in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Yadong Song holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1772 to 1725, a 47-point edge.
Casey Kenney enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yadong Song enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Casey Kenney finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Yadong Song 58%.
Casey Kenney carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.