Casey O'Neill vs Lara Procopio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Casey O'Neill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Lara Procopio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-20→ 1682
If they win+20→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1605
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillLara Procopio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Casey O'Neill82%
Lara Procopio 18%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 82% favorite over Lara Procopio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Casey O'Neill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1617, a 85-point edge.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lara Procopio enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Lara Procopio 44%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.