Casey O'Neill vs Luana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record11-2-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight139 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeam011 MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillLuana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luana Santos61%
Casey O'Neill 39%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Santos a 61% favorite over Casey O'Neill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1692), separated by just 10 points.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Luana Santos 55%.
Casey O'Neill carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.