Casey O'Neill vs Shana Dobson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record4-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamElevation Fight Team
What's at stake
Casey O'Neill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Shana Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1710
If they lose-24→ 1678
If they win+36→ 1542
If they lose-12→ 1494
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillShana Dobson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Casey O'Neill88%
Shana Dobson 12%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 88% favorite over Shana Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Casey O'Neill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1702 to 1506, a 196-point edge.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Shana Dobson 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.