Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey O'Neill vs Shana Dobson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-2-0Record4-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Casey O'Neill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Shana Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Casey O'NeillNow 1682
If they win+9→ 1691
If they lose-23→ 1659
Shana DobsonNow 1506
If they win+35→ 1541
If they lose-13→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.89
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
53%
Strike accuracy
38%
5.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
57%
Strike defense
50%
1.45
Takedown avg.
0.84
35%
Takedown accuracy
50%
70%
Takedown defense
14%
0.73
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Casey O'NeillShana Dobson
1500155016001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (45%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Casey O'Neill92%
Shana Dobson 8%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Casey O'Neill a 92% favorite over Shana Dobson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Casey O'Neill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1506, a 176-point edge.

Casey O'Neill enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Casey O'Neill finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Shana Dobson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.