Casey O'Neill vs Tatiana Postarnakova
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record8-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamRaty Team· 1669 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666
If they win+24→ 1704
If they lose-24→ 1656
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Casey O'NeillTatiana Postarnakova
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatiana Postarnakova53%
Casey O'Neill 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatiana Postarnakova a 53% favorite over Casey O'Neill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Casey O'Neill's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1682 vs 1680), separated by just 2 points.
Casey O'Neill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tatiana Postarnakova enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Casey O'Neill finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tatiana Postarnakova 75%.
Casey O'Neill carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.