Casey Olson vs Josias Musasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach74"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
The PitTeamElite Training Center - Lubumbashi
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1636
If they lose-16→ 1604
If they win+16→ 1635
If they lose-16→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Casey OlsonJosias Musasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josias Musasa56%
Casey Olson 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josias Musasa a 56% favorite over Casey Olson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Casey Olson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1619), separated by just 1 points.
Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Casey Olson finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Josias Musasa 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.