Casey Ryan vs David Hošek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record13-9-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
TBDReach75.6"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRenegade Prague Gym· 1583 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey RyanDavid Hošek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
David Hošek64%
Casey Ryan 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes David Hošek a 64% favorite over Casey Ryan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Casey Ryan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1559), separated by just 3 points.
David Hošek enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Casey Ryan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, David Hošek 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.