Combat Edge Intelligence

Casey Ryan vs Elias Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Casey Ryan
us

Casey Ryan

“Spider Monkey”

9-4-0MiddleweightLFA

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record5-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight184 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Casey RyanNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
Elias UrbinaNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.17
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Casey RyanElias Urbina
15501600201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (11%)
KO/TKO
2 (40%)
8 (89%)
Submission
2 (40%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Casey Ryan52%
Elias Urbina 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Casey Ryan a 52% favorite over Elias Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Casey Ryan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Elias Urbina 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.