Casey Ryan vs Jhony Gregory
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record11-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'0"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamDaniel Oliveira Methodology
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1484 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Casey RyanJhony Gregory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhony Gregory56%
Casey Ryan 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhony Gregory a 56% favorite over Casey Ryan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1564), separated by just 2 points.
Casey Ryan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jhony Gregory 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.