Cat Zingano vs Gina Carano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record7-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
68.00Reach66"
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
Zingano Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1623
If they lose-17→ 1591
If they win+25→ 1621
If they lose-23→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cat ZinganoGina Carano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cat Zingano57%
Gina Carano 43%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Cat Zingano a 57% favorite over Gina Carano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1596), separated by just 12 points.
Gina Carano enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cat Zingano finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Gina Carano 57%.
Cat Zingano and Gina Carano share 2 common opponents: Cris Cyborg and Ronda Rousey.
Cat Zingano carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.