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Combat Edge Intelligence

Cat Zingano vs Sara Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cat Zingano
us

Cat Zingano

“Alpha”

14-5-0FeatherweightBFC

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68.00Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Zingano Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamResilience Training Centre

What's at stake

Sara Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Cat Zingano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cat ZinganoNow 1608
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
Sara CollinsNow 1629
If they win+23→ 1652
If they lose-25→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
61%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
47%
Strike defense
Not available
2.77
Takedown avg.
Not available
65%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.85
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Cat ZinganoSara Collins
1600165020242025

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (29%)
Submission
3 (50%)
5 (36%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Cat Zingano51%
Sara Collins 49%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Cat Zingano a 51% favorite over Sara Collins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sara Collins's way (47%).

Sara Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1608, a 21-point edge.

Cat Zingano finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.

Cat Zingano and Sara Collins share 2 common opponents: Cris Cyborg and Leah McCourt.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossTKO (punches) · 2023
Cris Cyborg
LossSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2025
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023
Leah McCourt
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2024