Cat Zingano vs Sara Collins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record6-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68.00Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Zingano Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamResilience Training Centre
What's at stake
Sara Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Cat Zingano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1625
If they lose-15→ 1593
If they win+23→ 1652
If they lose-25→ 1604
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cat ZinganoSara Collins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sara Collins70%
Cat Zingano 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Sara Collins a 70% favorite over Cat Zingano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Sara Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1608, a 21-point edge.
Cat Zingano finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Sara Collins 50%.
Cat Zingano and Sara Collins share 2 common opponents: Cris Cyborg and Leah McCourt.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.