Cathal Pendred vs Gasan Umalatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record18-5-3
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75,0"Reach41,0"
170 lbsWeight181 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAstrakhan Top Team
What's at stake
Cathal Pendred is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Gasan Umalatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1707
If they lose-18→ 1675
If they win+13→ 1669
If they lose-11→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cathal PendredGasan Umalatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cathal Pendred64%
Gasan Umalatov 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Cathal Pendred a 64% favorite over Gasan Umalatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Cathal Pendred holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1656, a 37-point edge.
Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cathal Pendred finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Gasan Umalatov 61%.
Cathal Pendred and Gasan Umalatov share 1 common opponent: John Howard.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.