Combat Edge Intelligence

Cathal Pendred vs John Howard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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John Howard
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John Howard

“Doomsday”

29-19-1WelterweightXMMA

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

17-4-1Record29-19-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'7"
75,0"Reach40,0"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamWai Kru MMA

What's at stake

Cathal Pendred is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — John Howard carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cathal PendredNow 1693
If they win+12→ 1705
If they lose-20→ 1673
John HowardNow 1607
If they win+15→ 1622
If they lose-9→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.49
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
45%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.08
56%
Strike defense
51%
2.46
Takedown avg.
2.70
24%
Takedown accuracy
49%
83%
Takedown defense
54%
0.41
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Cathal PendredJohn Howard
16001650170017502013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
10 (34%)
1 (6%)
Submission
7 (24%)
10 (59%)
Decision
12 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Cathal Pendred83%
John Howard 17%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Cathal Pendred a 83% favorite over John Howard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Cathal Pendred holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1607, a 86-point edge.

Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

John Howard enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Cathal Pendred finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, John Howard 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.