Combat Edge Intelligence

Cathal Pendred vs Mike King

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-4-1Record5-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75,0"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight184 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamBuckeye MMA

What's at stake

Cathal Pendred is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Mike King carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Cathal PendredNow 1693
If they win+11→ 1704
If they lose-21→ 1672
Mike KingNow 1569
If they win+32→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.49
Sig. strikes / min
4.44
45%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.29
56%
Strike defense
73%
2.46
Takedown avg.
1.75
24%
Takedown accuracy
25%
83%
Takedown defense
40%
0.41
Submission avg.
3.51

Trajectory

Cathal PendredMike King
155016001650170017502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (6%)
Submission
4 (80%)
10 (59%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Cathal Pendred72%
Mike King 28%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Cathal Pendred a 72% favorite over Mike King in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Cathal Pendred holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1569, a 124-point edge.

Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Cathal Pendred finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Mike King 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.