Cathal Pendred vs Sean Spencer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record12-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
75,0"Reach75,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Cathal Pendred is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sean Spencer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1704
If they lose-21→ 1672
If they win+21→ 1602
If they lose-11→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1618 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Cathal PendredSean Spencer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Cathal Pendred78%
Sean Spencer 22%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Cathal Pendred a 78% favorite over Sean Spencer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Cathal Pendred holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1581, a 112-point edge.
Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Cathal Pendred finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Sean Spencer 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.