Cathal Pendred vs Tom Breese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-1Record21-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75,0"Reach73.5"
170 lbsWeight205 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Renegade· 1737 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
If they win+12→ 1694
If they lose-12→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Cathal PendredTom Breese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tom Breese65%
Cathal Pendred 35%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tom Breese a 65% favorite over Cathal Pendred in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Cathal Pendred's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1692 vs 1682), separated by just 10 points.
Cathal Pendred enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Cathal Pendred finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 90%.
Cathal Pendred carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.