Combat Edge Intelligence

CB Dollaway vs Cezar Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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CB Dollaway
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CB Dollaway

“The Doberman”

17-10-0MiddleweightSUG

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record14-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight216 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

CB DollawayNow 1604
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-17→ 1587
Cezar FerreiraNow 1591
If they win+12→ 1603
If they lose-12→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.90
47%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.44
54%
Strike defense
54%
3.55
Takedown avg.
2.69
55%
Takedown accuracy
54%
63%
Takedown defense
85%
1.18
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

CB DollawayCezar Ferreira
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
3 (19%)
Submission
4 (29%)
7 (44%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

CB Dollaway56%
Cezar Ferreira 44%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes CB Dollaway a 56% favorite over Cezar Ferreira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1591), separated by just 13 points.

Cezar Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

CB Dollaway finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Cezar Ferreira 57%.

CB Dollaway and Cezar Ferreira share 1 common opponent: Nate Marquardt.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2015
Nate Marquardt
Win Decision · 2017