Combat Edge Intelligence

CB Dollaway vs Francis Carmont

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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CB Dollaway
us

CB Dollaway

“The Doberman”

17-10-0MiddleweightSUG

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record25-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Francis Carmont is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — CB Dollaway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

CB DollawayNow 1604
If they win+18→ 1622
If they lose-14→ 1590
Francis CarmontNow 1644
If they win+11→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1631

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1621 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
47%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.64
54%
Strike defense
59%
3.55
Takedown avg.
1.79
55%
Takedown accuracy
37%
63%
Takedown defense
73%
1.18
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

CB DollawayFrancis Carmont
1600165017002015201620172018

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (24%)
3 (19%)
Submission
11 (44%)
7 (44%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

CB Dollaway54%
Francis Carmont 46%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes CB Dollaway a 54% favorite over Francis Carmont in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francis Carmont's way (44%).

Francis Carmont holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1604, a 40-point edge.

CB Dollaway finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Francis Carmont 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.