Combat Edge Intelligence

CB Dollaway vs Jason Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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CB Dollaway
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CB Dollaway

“The Doberman”

17-10-0MiddleweightSUG

1604Solid

Tale of the tape

17-10-0Record23-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76.00ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamTeam Mayhem

What's at stake

Jason Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — CB Dollaway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

CB DollawayNow 1604
If they win+17→ 1621
If they lose-15→ 1589
Jason MillerNow 1627
If they win+11→ 1638
If they lose-13→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.65
Sig. strikes / min
1.45
47%
Strike accuracy
33%
2.58
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.51
54%
Strike defense
49%
3.55
Takedown avg.
1.02
55%
Takedown accuracy
17%
63%
Takedown defense
44%
1.18
Submission avg.
1.28

Trajectory

CB DollawayJason Miller
1600201620172018

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
3 (19%)
Submission
14 (61%)
7 (44%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

CB Dollaway60%
Jason Miller 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes CB Dollaway a 60% favorite over Jason Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jason Miller's way (47%).

Jason Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1604, a 23-point edge.

Jason Miller enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

CB Dollaway finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jason Miller 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.