CB Dollaway vs Lyoto Machida
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record26-12-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76.00Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamAPAM
What's at stake
Lyoto Machida is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — CB Dollaway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+9→ 1694
If they lose-15→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
CB DollawayLyoto Machida
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
CB Dollaway53%
Lyoto Machida 47%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes CB Dollaway a 53% favorite over Lyoto Machida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lyoto Machida's way (39%).
Lyoto Machida holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1604, a 81-point edge.
Lyoto Machida enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
CB Dollaway finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Lyoto Machida 50%.
CB Dollaway carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.