CB Dollaway vs Nate Marquardt
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-10-0Record36-20-2
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76.00Reach42,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamHigh Altitude Martial Arts
What's at stake
Nate Marquardt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — CB Dollaway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1622
If they lose-14→ 1590
If they win+10→ 1661
If they lose-14→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
CB DollawayNate Marquardt
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
CB Dollaway60%
Nate Marquardt 40%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes CB Dollaway a 60% favorite over Nate Marquardt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nate Marquardt's way (43%).
Nate Marquardt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1604, a 47-point edge.
CB Dollaway finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Nate Marquardt 78%.
CB Dollaway and Nate Marquardt share 1 common opponent: Cezar Ferreira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.