Combat Edge Intelligence

Ce Liu vs Jeff Newton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ce Liu
cn

Ce Liu

3-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
CFPTeamTodd Medina Freestyle Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ce LiuNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Jeff NewtonNow 1542
If they win+24→ 1566
If they lose-24→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
20%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.41
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
8.47

Trajectory

Ce LiuJeff Newton
1500155020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ce Liu53%
Jeff Newton 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 53% favorite over Jeff Newton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1542), separated by just 7 points.

Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jeff Newton 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.