Ce Liu vs Junior Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record7-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'3"
77.6"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight249 lbs
What's at stake
Junior Tafa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ce Liu carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1574
If they lose-23→ 1526
If they win+15→ 1579
If they lose-17→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ce LiuJunior Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ce Liu and Junior Tafa within a point of even.
Junior Tafa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1564 to 1549, a 15-point edge.
Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Junior Tafa 100%.
Ce Liu carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.