Combat Edge Intelligence

Ce Liu vs Maurice Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ce Liu
cn

Ce Liu

3-1-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1549Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record12-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'2"
77.6"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
CFPTeamThe Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ce LiuNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525
Maurice SmithNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.47
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.89
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
20%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.89

Trajectory

Ce LiuMaurice Smith
155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ce Liu61%
Maurice Smith 39%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ce Liu a 61% favorite over Maurice Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1549 vs 1545), separated by just 4 points.

Ce Liu finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Maurice Smith 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.